Epic Fail
01.19.10
Replacing Ted Kennedy was supposed to be a slam dunk for Massachusetts Democrats. They should have been able to run a cocker spaniel and still walk away with a double digit victory. In a state that is arguably the bluest in the Union, Ted Kennedy had been a permanent fixture in the U.S. Senate since the Pleistocene age, in a state that’s as liberal as they come. Well, stuff happens.
Enter Scott Brown, a virtual nobody who had the upstart temerity to challenge a political establishment that until now, was as immovable as the northern star. How did this happen? That depends largely on whose explanation you’re buying into.
The White House is blaming Democrat candidate Martha Coakley for running a weak campaign, while the Coakley people are blaming the White House for their lukewarm support. And Democrats in general are all over the map blaming anyone they think will put some distance between themselves and what they claim was a flawed campaign.
There are plenty of valid reasons why Coakley lost, and the specifics will certainly be the subject of discussion among media pundits and politicians alike. But looking at the bigger picture will give political strategists a map of the political landscape for the coming elections in November 2010 and 2012.
Democrats did an incredibly inept job of assessing the strength of Scott Brown and his supporters. Along with their liberal media pundits, they did little more than mischaracterize, ridicule and vilify Brown, Republicans, conservatives, the Tea Party movement, Sarah Palin—anything to minimize the opposition. Their over-the-top attacks showed such arrogance and gross negligence of sound political tactics that purposeful self-denial may be the only logical explanation.
As any true strategist knows, victory over an opponent is usually the result of a thorough understanding of your own strengths and weaknesses, as well as those of the opposition. How the Democrats respond to this defeat will show us whether or not they’re prepared to face political reality. GOP strategists better be paying attention.
All we know is something happened in the dark of night under the cloak of secrecy. What exactly it is, they won’t tell us. But Harry Reid has assured Americans that whatever it is, we’re going to like it. I think that’s what Mark Twain had in mind when he said, “If you don’t get what you like, you have to like what you get.”